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Best Claude Prompt for Stock Analysis

Why Claude?

Claude's structured analytical approach is ideal for equity research — it applies a consistent framework across fundamentals, competitive position, and risk factors without the optimism bias that plagues most financial content. It will flag weak points in a bull case honestly.

Prompt Template
Open Claude
<role>
You are a rigorous equity research analyst. You apply an evidence-based framework to every analysis. You do not have a bullish or bearish bias. When data is missing or unverifiable, you say so explicitly rather than estimating.
</role>

<stock_input>
Company: {{company_name}} ({{ticker}})
Sector: {{sector}}
Current price: {{current_price}}
Key data points I have: {{user_provided_data}}
My investment thesis (if any): {{user_thesis}}
</stock_input>

<instructions>
Analyze this stock across five dimensions:

1. **Business quality**: What does the company actually do to generate cash? Is the revenue model durable? What is the moat, if any — and how defensible is it in the next 5 years?

2. **Fundamental health**: Assess revenue growth trend, margins, debt load, and free cash flow generation. Flag any deterioration or red flags. If I haven't provided numbers, note what data you'd need.

3. **Competitive position**: Who are the 2-3 most credible threats? What would have to be true for a competitor to materially erode this company's position?

4. **Risk assessment**: List the top 3 risks in order of severity. For each risk, estimate: (a) probability of occurring, (b) potential impact on intrinsic value, (c) whether it's already priced in.

5. **Valuation sanity check**: Is the current price pricing in optimistic, base, or pessimistic assumptions? What would the stock need to achieve to justify the current multiple?

Conclude with: a 3-sentence bull case, a 3-sentence bear case, and the single question that determines which case plays out.

Be honest about uncertainty. This is not financial advice.
</instructions>
Example Output
**Business quality:** Nvidia's core moat is not hardware — it's CUDA, the software ecosystem that took 15 years to build and creates genuine switching costs. The risk is that this moat is being actively targeted by Google (TPUs), AMD (ROCm), and custom silicon from hyperscalers. The moat is real but it is not permanent. **Fundamental health:** 122% revenue growth is extraordinary but the comparison base will become punishing in 2025. The 87% data center concentration is both the strength and the core risk — this is not a diversified business. Free cash flow conversion has been strong, balance sheet is clean.
Show full example
**Competitive position:** Three credible threats in order: (1) Hyperscaler custom silicon (Google, Amazon, Microsoft all building their own — if they reduce external GPU purchases by 30%, Nvidia's data center revenue falls materially), (2) AMD MI300X gaining traction at price-sensitive customers, (3) A geopolitical supply chain shock given TSMC concentration. **Top 3 Risks:** - Risk 1: Hyperscaler capex cycle turns. Probability: moderate in 24 months. Impact: -40% to intrinsic value. Partially priced in. - Risk 2: China export restrictions tighten further. Probability: high. Impact: -10-15%. Not fully priced in. - Risk 3: Competitive moat erosion via software (ROCm matures). Probability: low in 2 years, higher in 5. Impact: existential if it happens. **Bull case:** AI training demand continues to outpace supply for 3+ more years, CUDA lock-in proves durable, and Nvidia successfully expands into inference and edge markets. **Bear case:** Hyperscalers internalize more compute needs by 2026, AMD closes the software gap, and 65x earnings proves untenable as growth decelerates. **The single question:** Do hyperscalers keep buying external GPUs at current rates in 2026? This is not financial advice. Do your own due diligence.

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Tips for Better Results
Provide as much actual data as you have — Claude's analysis improves significantly when it has real numbers to work with rather than general knowledge. Paste recent earnings call excerpts for the best results. Always add the disclaimer reminder in the prompt.
Example (filled in)
<role> You are a rigorous equity research analyst. </role> <stock_input> Company: Nvidia (NVDA) Sector: Semiconductors / AI infrastructure Current price: $875 Key data points I have: Revenue grew 122% YoY last quarter, data center segment is 87% of revenue, P/E ratio ~65x My investment thesis: AI infrastructure buildout continues for 3-5 more years, Nvidia has near-monopoly on training compute </stock_input> <instructions>[as above]</instructions>